Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-6
Murense vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
UEP
1 - 1
MUR
59%
23%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 1
MHN
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
ADC
1 - 1
MUR
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
MUR
3 - 0
XIL
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
SLL
0 - 2
MUR
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CAD
3 - 2
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
HER
3 - 1
BET
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
RMA
2 - 1
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
HER
3 - 1
ATH
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
OSA
3 - 1
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |