Murense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
MUR
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
POR
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CMI
1 - 2
MUR
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
FLN
16%
22%
63%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ART
0 - 3
MUR
18%
20%
61%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
UDR
35%
26%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
FER
26%
25%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
FER
15%
22%
64%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
FER
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |