Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-5
Murense vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
MAR
0 - 1
MUR
47%
26%
28%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
MUR
1 - 0
FRR
75%
17%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
MHN
0 - 0
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
MUR
3 - 1
HIB
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1984 |
CON
4 - 0
MUR
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
CON
1 - 0
ATB
65%
20%
14%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
FLN
0 - 1
CON
32%
29%
38%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
CON
5 - 0
CFP
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
MAR
2 - 0
CON
39%
29%
32%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1984 |
CON
4 - 0
MUR
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |