Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Murense vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAL
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
PCR
2 - 2
MUR
30%
28%
42%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
CON
2 - 3
MUR
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
CON
6 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 2
PBL
42%
27%
31%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
CON
3 - 2
UEP
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
MHN
4 - 2
CON
49%
27%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
CON
2 - 3
MUR
76%
15%
10%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
CON
6 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CFP
3 - 1
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |