Murense vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEX
41%
25%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CEX
4 - 0
MUR
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 0
UDA
40%
25%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALL
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
POR
2 - 0
MUR
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
UDA
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
UDA
1 - 2
ATL
44%
25%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
UDR
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDR
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SVE
1 - 1
ATL
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |