Murense vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CMI
1 - 1
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 0
CEX
34%
25%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CDG
1 - 1
MUR
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
CDS
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UDA
1 - 1
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALL
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDR
50%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CMI
0 - 0
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |