Murense vs Calvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SCD
3 - 2
MUR
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 3
FER
18%
23%
59%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
MUR
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
POR
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CMI
1 - 2
MUR
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ESP
46%
24%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 3
CAM
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAL
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
RLV
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALG
17%
22%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |