Murense vs Alqueria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+323%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
MUR
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
SCD
43%
24%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SSA
1 - 1
MUR
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 2
SHO
48%
24%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ALQ
0 - 2
MUR
13%
20%
68%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alqueria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALQ
0 - 2
ESP
9%
17%
74%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
CDG
5 - 0
ALQ
66%
17%
17%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ALQ
2 - 1
ART
24%
20%
56%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
PET
2 - 0
ALQ
72%
17%
11%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ALQ
0 - 2
MUR
13%
20%
68%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |