Murense vs Alqueria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
ALQ
1 - 1
MUR
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
UDR
2 - 1
MUR
44%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
UDR
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
UDA
0 - 2
MUR
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CMI
1 - 5
MUR
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alqueria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
ALQ
1 - 1
MUR
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ALQ
3 - 0
CMI
33%
23%
45%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CMI
2 - 0
ALQ
44%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALQ
33%
23%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ALQ
0 - 2
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |