Murciélagos vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
46.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAF
2 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
ZAC
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
MUR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
MER
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 1
UDG
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UDG
3 - 1
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ZAC
2 - 0
UDG
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UDG
1 - 1
TOR
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
UDG
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |