Murciélagos vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUR
5 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UDG
2 - 0
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
CIM
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
JUA
2 - 1
MUR
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ATS
2 - 0
MUR
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UDG
0 - 0
CIM
68%
22%
10%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UDG
2 - 0
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
UDG
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
UDG
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UDG
3 - 1
CAF
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |