Murciélagos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
60.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAF
0 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 3
CIM
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
4 - 0
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 3
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NEC
5 - 0
CAÑ
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
NEC
0 - 0
VER
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 2
MOR
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |