Murciélagos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
UAT
0 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ZAC
17%
25%
58%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
LOB
18%
26%
56%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
MUR
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 3
ZAC
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 1
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 3
UDG
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CAF
2 - 1
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 2
NEC
18%
25%
58%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |