Murciélagos vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
JUA
27%
29%
45%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 1
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 2
UAP
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 0
MUR
74%
16%
11%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LOB
0 - 0
MUR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
ATS
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 4
MOR
58%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 0
ALE
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
QRO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 0
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |