Murciélagos vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAÑ
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UAT
0 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALE
25%
27%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
MUR
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
UDG
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAF
5 - 1
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
MER
73%
19%
8%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
ZAC
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |