Murciélagos vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
MER
25%
28%
48%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 1
MUR
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAF
2 - 0
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 2
TIJ
11%
17%
73%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
PUM
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 0
ATS
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
ATS
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 2
TEP
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ATS
0 - 3
AME
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |