Murciélagos vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 2
ATS
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MER
3 - 1
MUR
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
4 - 0
CAF
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
DOR
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
VER
1 - 2
TOR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 3
CAF
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
TEP
1 - 1
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 0
UAT
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |