Murchante vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 0
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SJU
5 - 1
MUR
51%
26%
24%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
0 - 2
MUR
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
PAM
58%
24%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
IZA
3 - 2
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
UDM
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
PEÑ
15%
23%
62%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SJU
0 - 0
PEÑ
20%
26%
54%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |