Murchante vs Baztan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDO
2 - 0
MUR
82%
13%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
ROT
11%
17%
71%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
AZK
3 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDS
22%
23%
56%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
5 - 1
ALU
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
CDB
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
3 - 3
AOI
33%
24%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
6 - 0
CDB
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
CDB
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |