Murchante vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
GAR
6 - 1
MUR
86%
10%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
AOI
7%
16%
77%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
MUR
87%
9%
3%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
PEN
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 0
MUR
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 1
CDS
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALU
3 - 4
GAR
25%
23%
53%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AOI
3 - 0
ALU
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 3
CDC
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
ALU
55%
22%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |