Muravera vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAS
1 - 2
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 3
ARZ
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
OST
19%
22%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
MUR
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 6
RIE
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 3
NUO
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 2
SSD
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FLA
4 - 0
SSD
67%
20%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
AVE
26%
23%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
SSD
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |