Muravera vs Nuorese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
AVE
19%
21%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 1
MUR
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
SSD
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAS
1 - 2
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nuorese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 0
NUO
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 3
ALB
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 0
NUO
39%
23%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 3
NUO
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |