Muravera vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 1
MUR
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
SSD
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAS
1 - 2
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 3
ARZ
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
OST
19%
22%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
ALB
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
AVE
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
AVE
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
SAS
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |