Muravera vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
MUR
40%
23%
38%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
NOC
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
MUR
44%
23%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
AFR
2 - 4
MUR
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FCS
0 - 2
MUR
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 3
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 2
FOR
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 2
TNF
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAR
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |