Murata vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 0
MUR
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
JUV
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIR
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
JUV
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 3
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 2
SGI
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
TFI
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |