Coppa Titano Last 16
Global 2-1
Murata vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 2
MUR
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TPE
3 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 2
MUR
38%
24%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
11%
20%
70%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 2
DOM
25%
24%
52%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 2
MUR
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 0
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |