Murata vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
4 - 0
MUR
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAI
3 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 0
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
MUR
4 - 4
TFI
16%
22%
62%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
LIB
19%
26%
55%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
FOL
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 2
LIB
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 2
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |