Murata vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
3 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 1
JUV
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
50%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
TFI
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 0
COS
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
5 - 0
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 2
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |