Murata vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 3
MUR
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 0
MUR
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
FIO
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
VIR
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 2
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
VIR
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |