Murata vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 2
FIO
23%
21%
56%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
5 - 2
SGI
78%
14%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 3
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TFI
4 - 2
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 3
FOL
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
TPE
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TPE
0 - 2
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
TPE
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
TPE
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |