Murata vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
FIO
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TFI
4 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TPE
0 - 1
TFI
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 0
DOM
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 4
TPE
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TPE
3 - 1
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |