Murata vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 3
TFI
45%
24%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 3
FIO
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
TFI
2 - 2
MUR
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
COS
0 - 3
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TPE
2 - 2
CAI
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
TPE
0 - 0
JUV
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
TPE
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TPE
1 - 1
PEN
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |