Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 7
MUR
17%
22%
61%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 1
TFI
14%
23%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
2 - 1
TPE
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
13%
23%
65%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 2
VIR
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -2 |