Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
SGI
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIR
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 0
MUR
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 4
FOL
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
2 - 0
JUV
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 1
TFI
15%
23%
63%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 0
CAI
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 0
COS
84%
12%
5%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |