Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
FIO
14%
20%
67%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 2
TFI
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TPE
2 - 2
MUR
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 1
VIR
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
DOM
1 - 4
TFI
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 3
TPE
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
TFI
4 - 0
JUV
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
TFI
4 - 1
DOM
46%
22%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |