Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
57.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TPE
2 - 2
MUR
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 2
TPE
8%
13%
79%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
PEN
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 3
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 0
TFI
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TFI
1 - 1
FIO
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DOM
0 - 4
TFI
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 2
FAE
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |