Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
5 - 1
PEN
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 6
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 1
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 2
TFI
15%
20%
65%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TFI
4 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
4 - 0
TFI
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |