Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
FAE
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
4 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
5 - 0
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
4 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 3
SGI
65%
19%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 1
TFI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |