Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
TPE
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIB
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 4
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
DOM
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 1
TFI
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |