Murata vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 2
JUV
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
4 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
FAE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 0
SGI
78%
16%
7%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |