Murata vs San Marino Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
4 - 1
JUV
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 3
DOM
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 1
SMA
69%
21%
11%
|
28 | 69 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
FAE
9%
13%
77%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +7 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 62 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 2
TFI
14%
21%
65%
|
21 | 68 | 47 | 0 |