Murata vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MUR
4 - 1
SMA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
TFI
30%
26%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 1
TPE
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 0
SGI
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
COS
1 - 2
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 2
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 5
SGI
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |