Coppa Titano Last 16
Global 2-1
Murata vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 4
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 2
DOM
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAI
1 - 1
MUR
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 4
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CAI
0 - 1
SGI
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SGI
1 - 0
COS
24%
21%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DOM
2 - 1
SGI
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |