Murata vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
FOL
19%
24%
57%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 5
CAI
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 0
MUR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 4
TPE
14%
20%
66%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DOM
5 - 1
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SGI
2 - 4
FAE
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 2
JUV
19%
20%
60%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COS
3 - 0
SGI
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |