Murata vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAE
3 - 0
MUR
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
DOM
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TPE
1 - 3
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 2
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 1
FIO
50%
22%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIR
4 - 0
SGI
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 6
JUV
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 2
SGI
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |