Murata vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TPE
3 - 0
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 0
MUR
23%
22%
55%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAI
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
68%
20%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 1
MUR
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
DOM
31%
24%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TPE
3 - 2
PEN
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
JUV
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
TFI
10%
21%
69%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |