Murata vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 0
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 9
FIO
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 1
LIB
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 2
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 0
PEN
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 1
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
7 - 1
PEN
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
TFI
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |