Murata vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TPE
3 - 0
MUR
82%
14%
5%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
DOM
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
SGI
65%
18%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
FOL
19%
24%
57%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 3
TPE
12%
17%
71%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TFI
0 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAI
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
DOM
3 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COS
4 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |