Murata vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 2
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 1
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
SGI
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
53%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 1
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |