Campionato Quarter-finals
Global 0-5
Murata vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
5 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
FOL
17%
24%
60%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |